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Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal – team news & stats

Alexis Sanchez scored to salvage a 2-2 draw for 10-man Arsenal in this fixture last season.

TEAM NEWS

Tottenham’s Mousa Dembele is a doubt after picking up an ankle injury in the win at Crystal Palace.

Goalkeeper Michel Vorm could return to the squad but Danny Rose is still absent with a knee injury.

Arsene Wenger has given centre-back Laurent Koscielny a “60% chance” of playing after suffering a knee injury against Leicester.

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain is fit but Shkodran Mustafi is missing with a thigh problem.

MOTD COMMENTATOR’S NOTES

Guy Mowbray: “Tottenham’s best approach would be to forget the title race for one day.

“Park all thoughts of Chelsea and concentrate on winning a derby – to end 21 seasons of St. Totteringham’s Day.

“They’ll have their own name for Arsenal not being able to catch them already. T-shirts might be on sale outside at full-time if it happens – but there’s that ‘if’, which seems stronger now than a couple of weeks ago.

“The Gunners have rediscovered their scrapping gene in their last three games, and will (surely?!) fight tooth and nail to ruin their North London rivals’ title bid.

“Arsenal’s last visit to White Hart Lane as it stands and the 50th Premier League meeting of the teams could and should be memorable.”

Twitter: @Guymowbray

WHAT THE MANAGERS SAY

Tottenham manager Mauricio Pochettino: “My feeling is now, when you are so close – only four points the gap – I will be very disappointed if we don’t win the title.

“My challenge or my aim is not to be above Arsenal. My aim is to be above 19 teams and to be first, to be on the top.

“You cannot ignore Chelsea’s game before us, but we played the day after they lost to Crystal Palace and it didn’t affect our preparation.”

Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger: “This is one of the only times where Spurs look in people’s minds as the favourites.

“I expect an open, committed match with high pace and there could be goals as both teams play positive football.

“I don’t think that the top three is decided. We have an opportunity to be in there only if we win our games, we don’t have to speculate at all.

“There is a lot that can happen until the end of the season.”

LAWRO’S PREDICTION

Spurs have now won eight league games on the spin but I just have a feeling that Arsenal will put a spanner in the works of their bid to catch Chelsea.

Prediction: 1-1

Lawro’s full predictions v Line of Duty star Adrian Dunbar.

  • Think you can do better than Lawro? Predict the score for this match and the rest of this round’s Premier League fixtures in our Predictor game.

MATCH FACTS

Head-to-head

  • Arsenal’s only win in their last eight Premier League visits to White Hart Lane was 1-0 in March 2014 (D3, L4).
  • However, the Gunners have scored in 35 of the last 36 Premier League north London derbies – the exception being a 0-0 draw in February 2009.
  • A Spurs win will ensure they finish above Arsenal in the league for the first time since 1995.

Tottenham Hotspur

  • Spurs have only suffered one defeat in 18 Premier League matches (W15, D2), winning their last eight games in a row.
  • They have won 12 consecutive games at White Hart Lane and are the only side unbeaten at home in the league this season (W15, D2).
  • Tottenham have amassed 74 points in the Premier League this season, their best ever return in the competition.
  • Christian Eriksen has been involved in 16 goals in his last 12 appearances in all competitions, with five goals and 11 assists.

Arsenal

  • The Gunners have won four of their last five games in all competitions.
  • However, they have lost four of their previous five Premier League away matches, conceding 13 goals in the process.
  • Arsenal’s tally of 60 points after 32 Premier League matches is one more than they had at this stage last season when they went on to finish second.
  • Alexis Sanchez has been involved in 28 Premier League goals this season, with 19 goals and nine assists.
SAM’s verdict
Most probable score: 2-1 Probability of draw: 22%
Probability of home win: 60% Probability of away win: 18%

SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by @ProfIanMcHale at the University of Salford that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.

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